RiverDog wrote:I think we're in a full rebuild, but I'm not convinced that Pete is. Does he think that he can bring in a point guard quarterback like he did with Russell, someone like Marcus Mariota, Deshawn Watson, or Tyrod Taylor, and win a Lombardi? Does he start trading these draft picks he got for Russell for current players to patch holes like he did when he pulled the trigger on the Adams trade or does he keep them in his pocket for the draft?
RiverDog wrote:I think we're in a full rebuild, but I'm not convinced that Pete is. Does he think that he can bring in a point guard quarterback like he did with Russell, someone like Marcus Mariota, Deshawn Watson, or Tyrod Taylor, and win a Lombardi? Does he start trading these draft picks he got for Russell for current players to patch holes like he did when he pulled the trigger on the Adams trade or does he keep them in his pocket for the draft?
Aseahawkfan wrote:If Pete and John pull off this rebuild by trading their expensive QB, they will reset the way you build teams to win. QB salaries are getting too insane. I don't care how good your QB is, if you have no money to build a team around him you still aren't going to win.
obiken wrote:But how do your rebuild without the Franchise QB ASHF? You can get all the parts right, the QB wrong, and not make the SB. Its not like the old days when you could win with a Rypien, Hosteler, or Phil Simms. Conversely as we saw with Joe Burrow, you can get almost everything wrong except the FCQB, and you can get there. No way I can see forward until we get rid of Pete. Its not just the drafting and talent acquisition ASHF, its the offensive philosophy is archaic.
Aseahawkfan wrote:If Pete and John pull off this rebuild by trading their expensive QB, they will reset the way you build teams to win. QB salaries are getting too insane. I don't care how good your QB is, if you have no money to build a team around him you still aren't going to win.
Aseahawkfan wrote:
Seems to me everyone is a one off SB winner even with a QB. The modern winning formula seems to be build a great team with a cheap QB that can do enough, win once, try to get back while they're on their rookie contract, then after that plan to lose if you re-sign the guy for crazy money and can't build much of a team around them.
Only guy to buck this trend seems to have been the GOAT: Tom Brady. He took less money to win. If the QB don't want to do that, might as well rebuild once they want too much money.
Obviously the easiest and cheapest way is to draft a really good QB and win right away. Although I do think the Rams might have exposed another way. Trade for a good veteran QB in his second or third contact. This allows you to avoid that big cap hit. It will be interesting to see how RW does with the Broncos. They are getting a $40 mil/year QB for only $24 and $27 mil over the next two years. I imagine they are going to use those years to spread out an extension for him. He might get a 5 year 225 mil extension that really is a 7 year $275 million deal which is closer to 40 million. They could easily give him cap hits of 20, 25, and 30 million over the next three years before his cap hit balloons to over 40 million. Obviously the hard part of this strategy is finding he right veteran QB. I can't really see anybody who is a great fit right now, but in a few years there could be some good options available. Obviously in the meantime you are hoping lightening strikes twice and you can draft somebody.
obiken wrote:What are the odds on PC drafting a Franchise QB again? Slim and NONE! Oh we have flexibility, really? Like a 500 pound fat girl can do yoga now! There is NO HOPE till PC goes bye bye, get over it everyone!
NorthHawk wrote:- good QB's are necessary to succeed.
RiverDog wrote:We'll have to see what Pete does in the coming weeks in order to determine if we're in a rebuild or reload mode. If he goes out and brings in some 30+ year old free agents, such as Calais Campbell, trades some of our draft picks for Deshaun Watson, then we're likely in reload mode.
RiverDog wrote:We'll have to see what Pete does in the coming weeks in order to determine if we're in a rebuild or reload mode. If he goes out and brings in some 30+ year old free agents, such as Calais Campbell, trades some of our draft picks for Deshaun Watson, then we're likely in reload mode.
Aseahawkfan wrote:The only way we're not in rebuild mode is if Pete trades for Watson. And that will be foul. Low character QB I would prefer not to have.
NorthHawk wrote:There are about 10 teams that might be considering Watson. He apparently wants to go to a team with a
good OL and chance to get to the playoffs. That might leave us out of the running if true.
However if the Browns sign him we might be able to get Baker Mayfield for a year or two until we can
draft a QB. I think he would be an improvement to Lock and Smith and his salary is about $18M.
NorthHawk wrote:I’ve already lost respect for Carroll and Schneider because of how they’ve lost their
way in keeping the team competitive and restrained the Offense to the point that
other teams know what’s coming and their Pro Bowl QB wanted out.
It’s shameful how they’ve blown drafts and made boneheaded trades not to mention
squandering Cap space in FA.
NorthHawk wrote:Wouldn’t bother me in the least.
So a 40 million dollar cap hit, a slimy reputation that could end up with a long-term suspension at any point in time, and performance about on par with the guy you traded, and it would cost you a bundle of picks and you would be ok with this?
It's a stupid idea on many levels.
NorthHawk wrote:Wouldn’t bother me in the least.
Aseahawkfan wrote:So a 40 million dollar cap hit, a slimy reputation that could end up with a long-term suspension at any point in time, and performance about on par with the guy you traded, and it would cost you a bundle of picks and you would be ok with this?
It's a stupid idea on many levels.
NorthHawk wrote:Let's look at all the factors in this trade.
The Texans want to get rid of Watson and he's not going to play for them again.
They paid him $10M last year for nothing and will have to pay him $35M this year for the same if they don't trade him.
He has a checkered history which devalues him to many franchises.
He might end up being suspended by the league for his conduct.
There will be a backlash from some fans if he's traded for.
They are apparently asking for 3 firsts but given the above they would probably settle for much less.
Any team trading for him would want to renegotiate his contract. I'm sure the new contract would include a morals clause and at that point the signing team
could add in a couple of voidable years to lessen the Cap hit. As well, there would be a clause for any missed time for suspension from the league.
He would still get the same amount of money, but the cap hit would be lessened by about 1/3. So it would be somewhere around $28M this year then drop
to around $24M roughly speaking - and if I've got the Cap figures straight.
So given the risks to the signing team, I would be willing to offer 1 first next year, 1 2nd, and a 3rd spread over 2 years - or maybe a player if someone is unhappy that Wilson is gone
and wants out. But something around that value considering they are becoming desperate to trade him.
Would other teams offer more? Perhaps but we are going to be drafting early for the next couple years regardless of if we sign Watson or not and that counts for something.
One question remains is whether our FO would want to have another QB with a not trade clause considering what they just went through with Wilson.
Aseahawkfan wrote:No spin by Pete or John. This is full rebuild mode.
This I'm actually ok with. If Pete or John tried to sell me that trading Russ and doing this was some move to keep winning and I'd call rubbish.
But this is full rebuild mode. This is don't expect to compete for the next three or four years.
This is purge the 2nd Super Bowl loss curse off the team and bring in young, fresh players more likely to buy into Pete's philosphy.
If Pete is committed to this, then let's do this. Pete's always been better starting from scratch with no attachments. Back to the basics and the way he rebuilt last time.
I'm down for it. Rebuild me a defense Carroll. I've never loved offense though I know we need it. Rebuild me a mean, arrogant, vicious defense that can beat the other team up.
Hawktawk wrote:I don’t think PC or JS see it as a rebuild at all. They plan to win .
obiken wrote:Wow man, don't mince words, what do you really think?? Seriously, I think it has too many moving parts to get all worked up about right now. You may think its a stupid idea but we are talking Petey here! Moreover, this is being talking about locally and nationally, so there must be a lot of "Dumbos" out there. AF, ask yourself what is more valuable, RW at his age, or DW at his age with his dirty suitcase? I think you can make a case either way. I am not for just floating for 2 years with ham and egger, or someone that is totally washed up like Kappernick. Sorry, I am too old for mediocrity, I am not into another Jon Kitna era. Either blow it up and start over, or get a really good QB and try to get it done now.
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