It's pretty apparent to me that Pete has been neglecting the offensive line. No wonder Russell's been complaining.
tarlhawk wrote:I know I have covered this before but my own thoughts are based on the recent 5 years of College Football...unless you are picking with a top 10...maybe top 20 OL guy from the first round...the OL value has dropped considerably for College Ball supplying Pass Pro ready linemen.
Too many gimmick...defense overloading multi receiver offenses make it hard for scouting to get a real feel for spending high draft capital for Pass Pro ready linemen. With an elite QB like RW the safer draft picks for Run Blocking Road graders are mostly a waste since our offense isn't as run heavy as our coaching might want nor has our RB stable been able to stay healthy. Our support runners stay healthy somewhat...DJ Dallas (Kick Returns) and Travis Homer (3rd down pass protector/occasional RB draw choice) but our feature backs (Carson/Penny/Collins) not holding up so well.
trents wrote:Do your stats take into account the number of draft picks management had to work with and how high or low they were in given years as well as the variability from year to year of available talent at different positions? Some years the pickings are slim for O linemen but there may be an abundance of WR talent. Some years, Pete and John have traded away draft picks to meet pressing immediate needs.
tarlhawk wrote:I know I have covered this before but my own thoughts are based on the recent 5 years of College Football...unless you are picking with a top 10...maybe top 20 OL guy from the first round...the OL value has dropped considerably for College Ball supplying Pass Pro ready linemen.
Too many gimmick...defense overloading multi receiver offenses make it hard for scouting to get a real feel for spending high draft capital for Pass Pro ready linemen. With an elite QB like RW the safer draft picks for Run Blocking Road graders are mostly a waste since our offense isn't as run heavy as our coaching might want nor has our RB stable been able to stay healthy. Our support runners stay healthy somewhat...DJ Dallas (Kick Returns) and Travis Homer (3rd down pass protector/occasional RB draw choice) but our feature backs (Carson/Penny/Collins) not holding up so well.
Our team has gambled on 4th and 5th round for choosing a Pass Pro Type who can be coached up...making Free Agents with demonstrated Pass Pro skills (D.Brown/G. Jackson) a bit more expensive but providing immediate Pass Protection. RW's deep route passes take longer to develop so Pass Pro blocks need sustained longer (Choosing between holding/releasing rushers more common) Its a catch-22 with RW staying in pocket releasing quicker on shorter routes or RW scrambling holding release longer to develop longer routes.
Roll-outs utilizing play action has been a "good friend" for RW but a respected running game is needed to draw the Strong Safety into the box vice playing 2 high safety schemes. The offensive line problems are inherant with the offense we use...based on College Football currently the WR's are a safer higher pick choice.
Where does Bill get them?
RiverDog wrote:That's a great analysis and I'm glad that you shared it, but it doesn't have a lot to do with the de-prioritization of the offensive line as in the OP.
However, now that you've brought up the subject, I'll add that our offensive line hasn't performed all that badly over the past couple seasons, at least not as bad as some would make it out to be. Last season, PFF had us ranked smack dab in the middle of the pack in both pass pro as well as run blocking, quite a bit different than the narratives that were being advanced. This season, the latest ranking I've seen was as of 3 or so weeks ago and they had us pegged as 23rd. IMO that's a tribute to Mike Solari's coaching, that he's been able to do what he has with the meager peanuts that Pete's been tossing him.
Nevertheless, it is still a major weakness that needs to be improved.
tarlhawk wrote:I answered the original post further up while using the analysis from Tim Riske to show why our offensive line seems to "bust protection" but isn't really a result of having very poor individuals drafted or picked up in free agency. My own guess is that College Football utilizes the independent hands technique a lot since blocks don't need sustained but need accuracy for quicker pass protection. Our line will excel only as far as Mike Solari can take them. RW may complain about the instant pressure but his style of play is partly the need for Solari employing the two-hand technique.
NorthHawk wrote:Teams build their OL's through the middle rounds of the draft. Sometimes they get lucky at the end of R1, and the best LT's are often
found near the top of the draft, but there are a ton of busts in the early 1st round, too. LT is probably the hardest to find and I think
it's why we see Duane Brown, Andrew Whitworth, Jason Peters, and others playing well into their late 30's or sometimes 40's. But
we've not shown to be able to find interior OL with the exception of Lewis in all the time Pete and John have been here. We've had
some players who did OK and we've developed some players that went on to success with other teams that had/have better OL's than
us, but for the most part we've done a very poor job of identifying, developing, and keeping good OL over the last 10 years. We've
also passed by some very good OL in favor of other players and there might be reason to believe that during the Cable years we would
have ruined the careers of otherwise good players on other teams, but we've had a largely poor record of developing young players
along the OL. And that's no way to build a championship team.
I understand the logic that you're presenting. The differences between how colleges procure offensive linemen and how they're used in the NFL has been discussed in this forum on many occasions, with North Hawk having done the best job out of our little group of articulating it. However, it doesn't change the fact that we under value offensive linemen relative to other positions as evidenced by our draft results.
Later on, I'll go back and compare a couple of other teams using the same information I've used with the Hawks.
RiverDog wrote:That's a great analysis and I'm glad that you shared it, but it doesn't have a lot to do with the de-prioritization of the offensive line as in the OP.
However, now that you've brought up the subject, I'll add that our offensive line hasn't performed all that badly over the past couple seasons, at least not as bad as some would make it out to be. Last season, PFF had us ranked smack dab in the middle of the pack in both pass pro as well as run blocking, quite a bit different than the narratives that were being advanced. This season, the latest ranking I've seen was as of 3 or so weeks ago and they had us pegged as 23rd. IMO that's a tribute to Mike Solari's coaching, that he's been able to do what he has with the meager peanuts that Pete's been tossing him.
Nevertheless, it is still a major weakness that needs to be improved.
NorthHawk wrote:Belechick and his staff just does a better job of identifying who can play in their system.
We seem to have put athleticism ahead of playing ability in selecting OL with Ifedi being
one of the best examples. They also have kept their OL’s together longer than we have.
They also had a real unsung hero as an OL coach in Dante Scarnecchia who I think has
now retired but most of their current OL have been in their system for more than a
few years, so they already know how to work together.
Hawktawk wrote:As you say it’s mid pack yet Russ had more sacks than anyone in the league last ten years and we weren’t the worst line all those years . For his HOF greatness Russ bailing on plays and spinning out every which way makes it hard on a line . We are also riddled with injuries . If healthy this isn’t a terrible line . Tired of hearing them blamed all the time . When you have a 10 million a year coach and 30 million dollar QB you should win and not make excuses . As for spending high capital on linemen they may as well have considering who they picked . But great coaches and qbs overcome deficiencies in the line or wherever . We used to .
Hawktawk wrote:Dalvin Cook doesn’t need much of a hole . And our offensive scheme and our trigger man is so herky jerky there’s no rythm to get a run game going . Protection schemes are stupid too such as assigning Travis Homer to block Chandler Jones one on oneresults were predictable .
It’s not a good line but it’s not a 4-8 line and I’m tired of hearing about someone getting hit too much when they are taking some of the worst most preventable sacks of any time in their career .
As I’ve said when we lined up against the Rams in the playoffs PC proclaimed our team to be as heathy as all year . That included our #15 line . As Russ was going 11-29 with a pick 6 with Donald out half the game Mayfield was carving up Pittsburgh at Heinz Field with a left tackle he met in the locker room before the game .
Yeah the line needs improvement but I’m tired of hearing it’s the line . Franchise Qbs and rock star coaches should make it work. Washington beat us with a backup qb and finished the game on their 4th center of the year . Tired of hearing when we win it’s Russ and when we lose it’s the line .
The Patriots and their coach in particular are often admired but seldom a template easily followed. To lose Tom Brady and strike pay dirt with an incredible QB find...especially in the mine field known as first round QB's (#15)...says a lot for their spot-on scouting. They'll reap the benefits of having an elite prospect at QB with his 4-year rookie contract. (4 years at a total cap hit of $15 1/2 million). Our choosing of athletic linemen was a Cable influence for his zone-blocking desires.
NorthHawk wrote:I've simply resigned myself to the idea that our FO can't identify OL talent - or at least OL talent that fits what we do.
Maybe it's because they undervalue the OL, maybe it's not giving the scouting staff the information as to what they
want, maybe the scouting staff isn't very good, or maybe it's a combination. The bottom line is they haven't done
a very good job of drafting players that fit our system and they still haven't found a solid Center all these years after
trading Unger for Graham. Not a Pro Bowl Center, but just haven't found a solid, competent Center that is steady.
Apparently that's beyond their abilities.
Hawktawk wrote:The line looked ok yesterday . Amazing when the qb is sharp and the running back hits an NFL size hole how good the line works .
In 4 years since Solari has been our OL coach, we've only drafted 4 OL's, with the highest draft pick he's given him was a 3rd rounder, and he seems to have done pretty well with that pick. In the 4 previous years, Pete gave Cable 9 draft picks, including a 1st and 2nd rounder.
obiken wrote:What do you think River, should we have Lineman farms/camps like the English premier league? You sign a kid at 16 put him under a great coach, bulk him up, train him and then at 18 put him on the taxi squad. The problem with my idea, the Union!
tarlhawk wrote:If our GM John Schneider can hit on all six of our picks in 2022...like he did with only three picks in 2021...our team will regain some of its lost talent. All 6 picks should be high up in each round they get selected since we struggled winning this year ...and well any pick (our extra 4th) from the NY Jets has remained high.
tarlhawk wrote:No draft crystal balls exist but perhaps a 3rd and one of our 4th RD picks could be used on a Tackle and/or a Center depending on who's available in free agency. Two CB (4th and 5th RD Picks?) would stabilize our secondary. A 2nd round Edge/DE and perhaps a 7th round QB pick to give Geno some competition if Bledsoe isn't enough. If the cap gets increased (NFL needs to deal with new Covid impact) then look for a few splashes in free agency...once we extend a few contracts of our own. Both TE (Dissly/Everett)...both CB's (DJ Reed/S. Jones)...and of course Quandre Diggs as our FS. Others like Al Woods/Rasheem Green and Brandon Shell might be cap hits.
An exclusive rights free agent (ERFA) is a veteran player with less than three accrued NFL seasons. An ERFA is limited to either signing the contract tendered to him by his current team, or not playing in the NFL that season. If a team chooses not to tender a contract to an ERFA, he becomes an unrestricted free agent. We have a bunch : S/CB Ryan Neal/John Reid/Nigel Warrior and Tanner Muse. LB Jon Rattigan/DT Bryan Mone/C Dakota Shepley and WR Penny Hart.
A restricted free agent (RFA) is any NFL veteran [that reaches the end of his contract] with three accrued seasons but not four accrued seasons of service. (Under certain restrictions, any NFL player with three accrued seasons shall be free to negotiate and sign a contract with any other NFL club). We have three : CB Bliss Austin and two Backup O-Line G Phil Haynes and C/G Kyle Fuller.
Unlike in the NBA or MLB, players’ contracts in the NFL aren’t guaranteed by default. Typically, an NFL player will receive at least some guaranteed money when he signs a deal, but that money often comes in the form of contract bonuses, and in particular signing bonuses.
Void years are dummy contract years that do not truly exist, as in the player is not actually under contract for those seasons. They serve as a placeholder for prorated money (When a player signs a contract that includes a signing bonus, that portion is prorated over the length of the contract for salary cap purposes. Since players who are opting out will have their contracts toll, the prorated portion of those bonuses will move along with the contract, instead of being counted this season. Because a team can prorate money up to a maximum of five years, if the player’s current contract only had three years remaining, the team may seek to add void years onto the end of the deal to make the prorated bonus amounts even smaller. We have four such guys : LT Duane Brown (Cap Hit in 2021: 9.9 Million) C Ethan Pocic (Cap Hit in 2021:2 Million) TE Gerald Everette (Cap Hit in 2021: 4 Million) and FS Quandre Diggs (Cap Hit in 2021: 3.6 Million)...as players they are not bound by void contracts so if we don't sign them to extended contracts...they will be Unrestricted Free Agents.
An unrestricted free agent (UFA) is any NFL veteran [that reaches the end of his contract] with four or more accrued seasons of service. An unrestricted free agent will be completely free to sign with another team, unless they were given the one-year franchise/transition tag by their team. We have the four above with Void years and the following as UFA players : RT Brandon Shell (Age 29)/ DT Al Woods (Age 34)/ CB Sidney Jones (Age 25)/ DT Rasheem Green (Age 24)/ TE Will Dissly (Age 25)/ QB Geno Smith (Age 31) and CB DJ Reed (Age 25).
tarlhawk wrote:If our GM John Schneider can hit on all six of our picks in 2022...like he did with only three picks in 2021...our team will regain some of its lost talent. All 6 picks should be high up in each round they get selected since we struggled winning this year ...and well any pick (our extra 4th) from the NY Jets has remained high.
No draft crystal balls exist but perhaps a 3rd and one of our 4th RD picks could be used on a Tackle and/or a Center depending on who's available in free agency. Two CB (4th and 5th RD Picks?) would stabilize our secondary. A 2nd round Edge/DE and perhaps a 7th round QB pick to give Geno some competition if Bledsoe isn't enough. If the cap gets increased (NFL needs to deal with new Covid impact) then look for a few splashes in free agency...once we extend a few contracts of our own. Both TE (Dissly/Everett)...both CB's (DJ Reed/S. Jones)...and of course Quandre Diggs as our FS. Others like Al Woods/Rasheem Green and Brandon Shell might be cap hits.
An exclusive rights free agent (ERFA) is a veteran player with less than three accrued NFL seasons. An ERFA is limited to either signing the contract tendered to him by his current team, or not playing in the NFL that season. If a team chooses not to tender a contract to an ERFA, he becomes an unrestricted free agent. We have a bunch : S/CB Ryan Neal/John Reid/Nigel Warrior and Tanner Muse. LB Jon Rattigan/DT Bryan Mone/C Dakota Shepley and WR Penny Hart.
A restricted free agent (RFA) is any NFL veteran [that reaches the end of his contract] with three accrued seasons but not four accrued seasons of service. (Under certain restrictions, any NFL player with three accrued seasons shall be free to negotiate and sign a contract with any other NFL club). We have three : CB Bliss Austin and two Backup O-Line G Phil Haynes and C/G Kyle Fuller.
Unlike in the NBA or MLB, players’ contracts in the NFL aren’t guaranteed by default. Typically, an NFL player will receive at least some guaranteed money when he signs a deal, but that money often comes in the form of contract bonuses, and in particular signing bonuses.
Void years are dummy contract years that do not truly exist, as in the player is not actually under contract for those seasons. They serve as a placeholder for prorated money (When a player signs a contract that includes a signing bonus, that portion is prorated over the length of the contract for salary cap purposes. Since players who are opting out will have their contracts toll, the prorated portion of those bonuses will move along with the contract, instead of being counted this season. Because a team can prorate money up to a maximum of five years, if the player’s current contract only had three years remaining, the team may seek to add void years onto the end of the deal to make the prorated bonus amounts even smaller. We have four such guys : LT Duane Brown (Cap Hit in 2021: 9.9 Million) C Ethan Pocic (Cap Hit in 2021:2 Million) TE Gerald Everette (Cap Hit in 2021: 4 Million) and FS Quandre Diggs (Cap Hit in 2021: 3.6 Million)...as players they are not bound by void contracts so if we don't sign them to extended contracts...they will be Unrestricted Free Agents.
An unrestricted free agent (UFA) is any NFL veteran [that reaches the end of his contract] with four or more accrued seasons of service. An unrestricted free agent will be completely free to sign with another team, unless they were given the one-year franchise/transition tag by their team. We have the four above with Void years and the following as UFA players : RT Brandon Shell (Age 29)/ DT Al Woods (Age 34)/ CB Sidney Jones (Age 25)/ DT Rasheem Green (Age 24)/ TE Will Dissly (Age 25)/ QB Geno Smith (Age 31) and CB DJ Reed (Age 25).
RiverDog wrote:Schneider hit on all 3 picks in 2021? How the heck do you know? Eskridge has played in just 3 games this year, has all of 7 catches for a whopping 47 yards and 1 TD, Tre Brown has played in 5 games, has 10 tackles with no interceptions, and Stone Forsythe has played in 6 games. Granted, they all look to have potential and might turn out to be solid contributors one day, but it is way, way too early to declare that JS "hit" on any of those selections, especially when you have to note that they're playing for a 5-8 team.
If you want to talk about "hitting" on a draft pick, the Chiefs hit on their 2nd round pick Creed Humphrey, a player they selected several picks after we took Eskridge, has started all 14 games for the Chiefs, and who PFF has graded out as the highest performing rookie OL through the first half of the season since 2006. That's what a "hit" on a draft pick looks like.
RiverDog wrote:Schneider hit on all 3 picks in 2021? How the heck do you know? Eskridge has played in just 3 games this year, has all of 7 catches for a whopping 47 yards and 1 TD, Tre Brown has played in 5 games, has 10 tackles with no interceptions, and Stone Forsythe has played in 6 games. Granted, they all look to have potential and might turn out to be solid contributors one day, but it is way, way too early to declare that JS "hit" on any of those selections, especially when you have to note that they're playing for a 5-8 team.
If you want to talk about "hitting" on a draft pick, the Chiefs hit on their 2nd round pick Creed Humphrey, a player they selected several picks after we took Eskridge, has started all 14 games for the Chiefs, and who PFF has graded out as the highest performing rookie OL through the first half of the season since 2006. That's what a "hit" on a draft pick looks like.
tarlhawk wrote:My "hits" aren't all-pros playing in their rookie seasons...but exhibit excellent upside and potential...injuries once again cloud the "slam dunk" kind of hit...but John Schneider wasn't sleeping at the wheel when he selected these three players. Creed was not an unknown...so the fact that KC was fortunate for Creed to drop into the 2nd round and for us to let a NEED go by...As a hit Creed was no surprise.
RiverDog wrote: It's hard to believe that Dissly is done with his rookie contract.
RiverDog wrote: It's hard to believe that Dissly is done with his rookie contract.
tarlhawk wrote:I know what you mean ...but sadly the first half of his contract was consumed by injury. His youth and skill set should make him an attractive target to sign an extension with.
Hawktawk wrote:What ever happened to Colby Parkinson that TE out of Stanford ? It’s all Carroll could talk about pre season when addressing the position group . I like uncle Will and thought he was a much more accomplished receiver than advertised but the injuries![]()
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