Aseahawkfan wrote:Do I believe this? I don't know. What wage are they looking to pay? Are they union jobs? Are they not attracting people because they want to keep wages low? These are questions I would like to see.
Construction is a notoriously competitive business with a real drive to push wages as low as possible due to the bidding process they use to obtain jobs. A new shortage for workers is not a good reason to suddenly jack up your immigration, especially if those jobs go away during a downturn and suddenly your entire system is overloaded with unemployed workers brought in during a temporary upturn.
Maybe construction could do something like an H1B visa program where they sponsor immigrants to come and work with specific skills, but permanent status should be avoided until long-term economic growth spanning years is locked in.
We'll see how hot the economy stays. Personally, I believe we're headed for another hammer economic drop due to the low interest rates like 2001 and 2008. You can't keep growing on leverage building bubbles and expect good outcomes. These economic bubbles are just a bad way to grow the economy and I would argue a major reason for the wealth transfer we're seeing since companies and the wealthy can better respond to an economic downturn purchasing all the cheap assets caused by the leverage bubbles popping while working class folks lose their homes, retirement savings, and the like while still having to pay off large amounts of debt.
From what I understand leverage is at an all time high across the board. Credit cards, home loans, margin trading, business loans, government debt, and the like just rising and rising and rising due to low interest rates and cheap money. It doesn't look good to me at all. I'm afraid to put my money heavily into the stock market because when it pops (and it will), it's going to be bad. Just be glad you managed your credit well Riverdog and aren't on the credit treadmill too many people get on.
My neighbor across the street from me is a licensed electrician about to retire, and he tells me that there is a very large concern, both locally and nationwide, of an impending shortage of electricians with the average age in the mid to upper 50's.
My neighbor across the street from me is a licensed electrician about to retire, and he tells me that there is a very large concern, both locally and nationwide, of an impending shortage of electricians with the average age in the mid to upper 50's.
burrrton wrote:Yup. My dad's an electrician that's been trying to retire for 5 years, but companies that he worked with keep backing dumptrucks of money up to his door begging him to run different projects for them around the country.
He's more of a foreman and designer than one who actually pulls the cable (etc), but the point's the same.
That's one of the reasons why I get tired of hearing about this student debt issue.
That's one of the reasons why I get tired of hearing about this student debt issue.
burrrton wrote:Agreed, and if you're talking about the 'erase all student debt' thing, it's like the "reparations" issue- pure pandering, as ridiculous as modern politics gets.
NorthHawk wrote:But are they any good at those types of jobs? I am a disaster at the trades, to the point I would make Homer Simpson look like a master carpenter/plumber/electrician, etc.
But, I am a very logical person, so when I started out in IT, it came naturally and 40 years ago it was an exciting and interesting field and I was in the right place at the right time. So I emphasize with people that can't swing hammers as I'm one of them. That's not to say there aren't those that just don't want to, rather that some just don't have the innate skill to do a proper job for an employer.
RiverDog wrote:The problem I have with the student loan debate is that with all the options students have nowadays and with the job market like it is, they can make a choice not to go spending tens of thousands of dollars on a college education, look for a less expensive trade that requires half the training/education than going to a liberal arts college, and still end up with a well paying job. No one's forcing them to assume that kind of debt.
RiverDog wrote:It's believable. It's local, first hand information and not something fed to me by the evil MSM, which is why I posted it. My neighbor across the street from me is a licensed electrician about to retire, and he tells me that there is a very large concern, both locally and nationwide, of an impending shortage of electricians with the average age in the mid to upper 50's. I also am aware that there's a shortage of truck drivers:
America needs more truck drivers. The trucking industry is facing a growing shortage of drivers that is pushing some retailers to delay nonessential shipments or pay high prices to get their goods delivered on time.
https://www.npr.org/2018/01/09/57675232 ... r-shortage
I could post more examples from other industries, but I don't think it's necessary to make my point.
If these shortages aren't addressed, costs will go up as employers will have to pay higher wages or start turning away work. Prices will go up, inflation goes up, the economy quits expanding, and with more workers retiring than are entering the work force, SS and Medicare's income continues to trend downward, putting more pressure on pols to raise taxes or cut benefits.
There's not many explanations for this labor shortage. One explanation could be that potential workers do exist but they are not looking for employment or are unemployable. Perhaps they can't pass a drug test or a background check. The other possible explanation is that we simply do not have enough native born citizens to replace those that leave the job market. When you look at the demographics, the declining birth rate and the average age of those that are actively employed, I think it becomes pretty obvious that the latter is the correct explanation.
These are not minimum wage, unskilled hamburger flipping jobs. It's skilled work that does not require a ton of training or an expensive college education. These jobs are perfect for people that aren't afraid of physical work, aren't spoiled by 21st century American excesses and conveniences, and are motivated to assimilate into our society.
Yes, I'm glad I'm not on the credit treadmill. Except for one short period of time after my divorce from my first wife, I've always paid off my entire balance on my credit card each month. My wife and I paid off the loan on our current home in less than half the term, and we paid off two zero interest loans on new cars before we retired. When we hit fixed income, we had virtually zero debt, which has allowed me to be able to afford some very expensive health care premiums of over $1K per month.
RiverDog wrote:That's obviously part of it, but the student loan debate didn't start with the current group of moonbats running for POTUS.
The problem I have with the student loan debate is that with all the options students have nowadays and with the job market like it is, they can make a choice not to go spending tens of thousands of dollars on a college education, look for a less expensive trade that requires half the training/education than going to a liberal arts college, and still end up with a well paying job. No one's forcing them to assume that kind of debt.
.
.Aseahawkfan wrote:I encourage young folks to get into the trades all the time. The new blue collar workers are the network techs in the computer industry. You get a few certifications and some experience, you get a 100 k a year job making sure computer networks stay up and running. They need electricians and HVAC techs as well. Those jobs will likely never become useless because the world needs electricity and mechanical environmental manipulation.
Aseahawkfan wrote:On a side note on immigration, I have to admit to you Trump is a racist. His tweet about the Congresswomen was straight crazy old uncle racist. I've heard the sentiment many times and I understand it. But at the same time sensible people know all those women had nothing to do with the state of their nations. They can't control the insanity or corruption in the nations of their ancestry. Trump telling them they should go back and fix those nations when they've come to America, worked hard to achieve success in this nation, and are just trying to help people they feel are in need is BS racism. Not sure when he crossed over that badly, but those tweets aren't working a crowd. They're just straight up crazy old uncle racist. The guy can't leave office soon enough. What a jackass.
It will be interesting to see how Idahawkman spins those remarks.
It will be interesting to see how Idahawkman spins those remarks.
burrrton wrote:There is no defending them (please note that, ID). You could maybe take issue with the literal definition of "RACIST!", but there's no getting around that it was at the very least a clearly bigoted (xenophobic? ethnocentric?) thing to say.
burrrton wrote:Somebody needs to take his fcking phone away from him- the Dems were in full meltdown heading into 2020, and he couldn't resist dropping himself into it and helping them out.
NorthHawk wrote:But are they any good at those types of jobs? I am a disaster at the trades, to the point I would make Homer Simpson look like a master carpenter/plumber/electrician, etc.
But, I am a very logical person, so when I started out in IT, it came naturally and 40 years ago it was an exciting and interesting field and I was in the right place at the right time. So I emphasize with people that can't swing hammers as I'm one of them. That's not to say there aren't those that just don't want to, rather that some just don't have the innate skill to do a proper job for an employer.
RiverDog wrote:
I think one of the reasons why the younger generation is shying away from construction jobs is that they're soft. They don't want to work outdoors in the hot summer and cold winters, see physical work as below their dignity, and have very little exposure to it in school.
When I was in junior high, shop was a required subject for boys. In high school, they had auto mechanics, welding, and woodworking classes.
It's part of the pussification of America.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Sometimes I wonder if Trump really doesn't want to be president and is just doing things to see how far he can push this crazy and still garner support. Then again he may just be a 70 plus year old man losing his mind. The guy wasn't like this when he was younger or at least he hid it very well. His public persona was nothing like this. I don't know when he crossed over into crazy uncle racist territory, but he's debased himself and his legacy. It's unfortunate he decided to turn his name into mud and become this crazy character named Trump no one really knew of for most of his life.
"Xenophobic" and "ethnocentric" are a more PC way of saying a person is a racist.
Now he's given them a ready-made campaign add for the 2020 elections and a reminder to them as to just who the enemy really is.
"Xenophobic" and "ethnocentric" are a more PC way of saying a person is a racist.
burrrton wrote:Only in the minds of people insufficiently educated in the meanings of those words. Just because everybody and their dog throws the term "RACIST" around at every overcooked steak and askance look doesn't mean every behavior is actually racist.
burrrton wrote:*sigh*
ADJECTIVE
prejudiced against or antagonistic toward a person or people on the basis of their membership in a particular racial or ethnic group, typically one that is a minority or marginalized.
All racists are prejudiced, but not everyone who's prejudiced is racist (this is a bit of hair-splitting on my part, but I like precision in language).
Again, it isn't worth arguing about- we agree on the broad strokes.
The differences are minute.
Is it fair to say that both you and ASF have migrated ever so slightly towards my appraisal of Trump's intolerance of others based on their race, creed, religion, national origin, ethnicity, et al?
RiverDog wrote:I know that you disagreed with me, but Trump has shown his racist tendencies for quite awhile. But he didn't leave much doubt this time, did he? There's no way that anyone can defend remarks like what he told those women.
And I see that the cat's got Idahawk's tongue. Must be waiting to see how Limbaugh, Colture, and Hannity say so he can use one of their lines.
RiverDog wrote:I know that you disagreed with me, but Trump has shown his racist tendencies for quite awhile. But he didn't leave much doubt this time, did he? There's no way that anyone can defend remarks like what he told those women.
And I see that the cat's got Idahawk's tongue. Must be waiting to see how Limbaugh, Colture, and Hannity say so he can use one of their lines.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Mainly since Obama became president. And behind closed doors if you believe the books on him. His public persona was very open to diversity for many, many years. It's since he became political attacking Obama that he started to go down that racist wormhole that he seems to have stayed in.
RiverDog wrote:In most people, isn't it just the opposite? That is, if a person is going to undergo a change, it's been my experience that they're usually a racist in their younger years and as they grow older and wiser, learn to be more tolerant.
Hawktawk wrote:As to the original subject of this thread there is a labor shortage because lots of primarily white folks and young people DON'T WANT TO WORK. They are LAZY. Teen participation in the workforce is at near record lows. The workforce participation rate in america in general is around 63%. One in 4 families NOBODY WORKS.
Yes the economy is good but the record low unemployment rates Trump beats his chest about are possible only due to the low participation rate with millions having dropped out and letting the taxpayers subsidize them. If the participation rate was in the mid 64% rate as at the end of GWs second term there would be 9 MILLION more people unemployed and an actual unemployment rate nearer 8%
Hawktawk wrote:Having employed people for over 30 years as a golf course super and now the last 16 months working in manufacturing the quality of employee has gotten worse every year with lazy unmotivated ungrateful intellectually bankrupt idiots permeating the labor force with a few exceptions. And as an aside the hispanics I employed in the golf industry and observe in my new job are generally the more motivated harder workers. I'm sure lots of those people down in the cages on the border would leap at the chance to work the jobs it seems like pulling teeth to get these americans to get up and go to reliably. It was northern triangle illegals who built Trump national etc as part of his pipeline of illegals helping himEve line his pockets. It was just that back then he didn't have a fanatical rabid political base to throw red meat to.
Hawktawk wrote:As for Trump being a racist YA THINK???????????????????![]()
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Yeah I see some of the smarter than me posters here trying to parse it, come up with fancy words to soften it up. It's no different than every time a politician lies and his supporters and even many of his detractors say he "misspoke". He LIED!!!
Trump is a RACIST. He's a remorseless LIAR. Hes credibly accused of being a RAPIST. Hes a COLLUDING OBSTRUCTOR OF JUSTICE. Hes a DEMAGOGUE, a wanna be strongman.
He's the worst president in our history by far. As George Will wrote in a recent column "this bell cannot be unrung" The damage this man has done to the constitutional separation of powers, the very office of the president and the norms that should define it is a lot more permanent and important than your 401 K or an unemployment rate fueled by lazy people who have dropped out or an anemic 3% growth rate .
The main driver of the labor participation rate is demographics. The baby boomer generation is retiring and those that are retired are living longer. If you were to factor out the retirees, I suspect that you'd see a much different participation rate.
Agreed. I've said a number of times that in general, the newly arrived immigrants are much more motivated and easier to manage than their native born counterparts. Even if there's a communication barrier, I'd much rather work around that issue than have to put up with a spoiled rotten American millennial.
Hes credibly accused of being a RAPIST.
RiverDog wrote:The main driver of the labor participation rate is demographics. The baby boomer generation is retiring and those that are retired are living longer. If you were to factor out the retirees, I suspect that you'd see a much different participation rate.
Agreed. I've said a number of times that in general, the newly arrived immigrants are much more motivated and easier to manage than their native born counterparts. Even if there's a communication barrier, I'd much rather work around that issue than have to put up with a spoiled rotten American millennial.
I don't think Trump's done any damage to our constitution. I agree that he doesn't respect it and is always looking for a way to sidestep it, but future POTUS's will continue to honor it as they have for the past 150+ years. DJT is an anomaly.
Trump will hopefully be gone soon. I'm so tired of this guy. He really thinks he's the sole source of superior thought in the nation and everything he does is perfect and shouldn't be criticized even tweets some straight up racist trash.
I just wish the Democrats weren't so pathetic at this point. Their platform is awful. I think they might lose to Trump because of an awful, unfocused platform that is unappealing to swing voters. The left wing press is pushing Ocasio-Cortez to the forefront and she is about as unappealing to swing voters as they come.
Aseahawkfan wrote:How you going to blame the millennial for the bad job his or her parents did raising them? My father taught me a work ethic. He did it knowing that it would benefit me. How many parents from the previous generation forced their kids to work? Females are notorious for babying their kids. I have been sickened by the number of men that let their wives run their children why they play video games and screw around like married man boys that think if they work they've done their duty as a father. That's just BS. Fathers are supposed to teach certain things to their children and given millenials and the divorce rate, I would say we're seeing a lot of the failure of the previous generation to be good fathers.
I don't think Trump's done any damage to our constitution. I agree that he doesn't respect it and is always looking for a way to sidestep it, but future POTUS's will continue to honor it as they have for the past 150+ years. DJT is an anomaly.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Agreed. Trump will hopefully be gone soon. I'm so tired of this guy. He really thinks he's the sole source of superior thought in the nation and everything he does is perfect and shouldn't be criticized even tweets some straight up racist trash. I just wish the Democrats weren't so pathetic at this point. Their platform is awful. I think they might lose to Trump because of an awful, unfocused platform that is unappealing to swing voters. The left wing press is pushing Ocasio-Cortez to the forefront and she is about as unappealing to swing voters as they come. I can see why Fox News is pushing her because she makes the Democratic Party look like socialist loons. The Dems need to get control of Ocasio-Cortez and her socialist BS movement or she will hurt the Dems against Trump. I won't even call him Republican as he's not part of a party. He runs The Trump Party. They aren't Democrat or Republican, they're interested in believing and supporting the trash that come out of Trump's mouth.
Trump will hopefully be gone soon. I'm so tired of this guy. He really thinks he's the sole source of superior thought in the nation and everything he does is perfect and shouldn't be criticized even tweets some straight up racist trash.
I-5 wrote:Totally agree with this. You just described a classic narcissist. The amazing thing is when his supporters can't or won't see it.
I-5 wrote:The mistake last time was for the democrats to think that 'never Trump' is a platform. As HRC can attest to, that's not nearly enough. Because of the electoral system we have, the only hope for the democrats is to field a candidate that can connect with the middle class and rural voters in the middle of the country. Obama and Clinton did that. In my opinion, Harris and Biden are the frontrunners who need to separate themselves from the pack and develop that connection. Of the 2, I think they can both stand toe to toe with Trump's nastiness, but I also think think Trump would have more to worry about with Harris.
I-5 wrote:I know this comment belongs on another thread, but totally agree that HRC ran a horrible campaign...has she ever run a good campaign looking all the way back to vs Obama? I don't know. We've seen Biden put his foot in his mouth a few times already. It's too bad, because Joe is a rust belt guy himself, but he's a bad quote generator. I'm seeing Harris and Warren gaining strength, but for me, it's Harris who seems to have captured lightning. She is tough and smart, and seems to be enjoying the process. My money is on Harris...for now.
I-5 wrote:You might be right, Riv. Sounds like Biden is the best hope for the dems in your book, or are we leaving out someone else? Biden is certainly middle of the road enough in his policies, so I could see him doing it. I also see him picking a woman as a running mate if he wins.
RiverDog wrote:You're making excuses for them. Sure, it helps to have had good parenting, but it's not a prerequisite, and in the end, each one of us is responsible for our own destiny. We've both seen success stories where kids rise from situations where they didn't have any parents at all, bounced around from one foster family to another, as well as kids that had every advantage in the world yet pissed away their opportunity (as Obi would say, tore up their lottery ticket) by getting into crime, drugs, ect. At the same time, I'm not disagreeing with you regarding parents in our generations.
RiverDog wrote:You're making excuses for them. Sure, it helps to have had good parenting, but it's not a prerequisite, and in the end, each one of us is responsible for our own destiny. We've both seen success stories where kids rise from situations where they didn't have any parents at all, bounced around from one foster family to another, as well as kids that had every advantage in the world yet pissed away their opportunity (as Obi would say, tore up their lottery ticket) by getting into crime, drugs, ect. At the same time, I'm not disagreeing with you regarding parents in our generations.
Aseahawkfan wrote:We benefited from a generation of men that were extremely masculine with an extraordinary societal reinforced work ethic. What do these millennial have to look up to? Lazy, drug addict hippies? The Kardashians and their bfs? Politicians selling them on lazy socialism and fake gender equality that requires them to treat each other nicer than at any point in history? Raised by single mothers that don't have the capability to force some larger male son to go to work?
I feel fathering is as bad as it has ever been. I truly believe that poor male behavior has done more damage to society than can be adequately measured. The way society is currently dealing with gender issues and the push of females to be empowered by undermining the male is a major reason why we are producing a generation of confused males not sure what it even means to be male or what they need to be doing. We have created a very poor environment for males to develop and grow into the male figures that at one point had kept the societal work ethic strong. I for one am glad I was not raised in the modern environment as a male.
When you grow up with the benefit of a generation of war-hardened men that lived through a depression as your role models, it's super hard to understand these young millennial do not have those role models to look to.
RiverDog wrote:
I know that you disagreed with me, but Trump has shown his racist tendencies for quite awhile. But he didn't leave much doubt this time, did he? There's no way that anyone can defend remarks like what he told those women.
And I see that the cat's got Idahawk's tongue. Must be waiting to see how Limbaugh, Colture, and Hannity say so he can use one of their lines.
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