obiken wrote:I would have Russ in the top tier all you have to do is look at the QBR, I love Herbert as a Duck but what has he done comparied to Russ, but thats just me. Carr is vastly underrated.
Hawktawk wrote:Ho hum. Another talking head
NorthHawk wrote:I think the rankings reflect in part the situation that the QB is in. The top tier is made up of dynamic Offenses and the rankings might be different if they played for lesser offensively focused teams.
IMO it's the other way around, at least the way I look at it. Here's how they defined a Tier 3 QB:
Tier 3 included quarterbacks who are a legitimate starter but need a strong running game and/or defense to compete. A lower-volume drop-back passing offense suits these quarterbacks in this tier best.
Judging by that criterion, ie a player needing a strong running game/defense to compete, would suggest that they are looking at the QB vs. the system he is in.
And for evidence, if you look at the teams ranked by passing attempts, Aaron Rodgers' Packers are ranked 16th. Rodgers is not playing in a dynamic, pass happy offense, yet he's ranked as the top QB in the league.
NorthHawk wrote:I think I would put both Wilson and Stafford in the first tier because they have carried their teams at times.
Allen and Mahomes are almost there but haven’t had the adversity that Stanford and Wilson have.
Matt Ryan was, but I think he’s slipped a little. Maybe that’s just bias because the Falcons haven’t been good for a while.
Tier 1
Rodgers, Brady, Wilson, and Stafford
Tier 2
Mahomes, Allen, Watson, Prescott, Burrow, Ryan, and Herbert
Tier3
Murray, Carr, Jimmy G., Cousins, and Tannehill
The rest don’t matter to me much, but I struggle with Carr as he showed good leadership and ability last year with all of the nonsense that went on in LV last year.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I think part of what Russ wants to find out is if he can enter the top tier in a higher volume passing offense. I guess we'll find out soon enough as he's getting his chance. Russ has always been productive, but not as productive as he would be in a higher volume passing offense. The NFL is all about those stats as well as the wins when it comes to voting for MVP and player rankings.
Hawktawk wrote:These lists are fun . But when a guy completes 68.5 %, 5-1 touchdown to int ratio , 102 qbr and a 151 qbr targeting the recently signed superstar receiver and is dead last in the ranking I smell a rat .
Can someone explain how those stats are indicative of the worst potential starter in the league.
Hawktawk wrote:I smell a rat , a homeboy who picked a side , opposite of yours truly . I don’t buy his supposed method of arriving at the conclusion regarding Geno .
I’ve seen rankings with him in the high 20s ahead of guys like Daniel Jones and Sam Darnold . I wouldn’t have him any higher but not worst in the league .
If he somewhat sustained his numbers over 17 games it’s around 4 k yards , 30 TD with 15 or 20 to DK, 5 picks , 4 lost fumbles. Not all pro but top 10.
It’s just math . Clearly sando and all the doubters expect a collapse to the New York days because 2021 Geno was not even remotely that guy .
In my heart of hearts I want Lock to win , or Eason for that matter but a part of me would love seeing Pete stick it right up the league and pundits yazoo with a 10 year castoff left on the garbage heap .
GO HAWKS!!!!
Hawktawk wrote:The sample he SAYS he relied on . I don’t buy it .Seattle guy makes Geno only tier 5 guy in the league .as far as “ explaining “ I’ve explained a thousand tines his 2021 numbers don’t remotely resemble his career numbers, and he was over 72% completions with 3 batted balls , 5 sacks and laid out at least 5 more by a team that led the league in sacks , completed balls to 10 receivers in his first start in 5 years . As for JAx a week after Geno surgically diced them they held definite tier 1 Josh Allen to 6 points . But I can explain all I want . I truly don’t think sando or much of anyone truly studied Genos 2021 performance . All I ever said is 2021 Geno can win some games .2013 couldn’t . They are betting that's who he is . If he’s 2021 and wins this competition some people are gonna look like fools .
c_hawkbob wrote:Sando might be the most objective sports writer ever.
Hawktawk wrote:The sample he SAYS he relied on . I don’t buy it .Seattle guy makes Geno only tier 5 guy in the league .as far as “ explaining “ I’ve explained a thousand tines his 2021 numbers don’t remotely resemble his career numbers, and he was over 72% completions with 3 batted balls , 5 sacks and laid out at least 5 more by a team that led the league in sacks , completed balls to 10 receivers in his first start in 5 years . As for JAx a week after Geno surgically diced them they held definite tier 1 Josh Allen to 6 points . But I can explain all I want . I truly don’t think sando or much of anyone truly studied Genos 2021 performance . All I ever said is 2021 Geno can win some games .2013 couldn’t . They are betting that's who he is . If he’s 2021 and wins this competition some people are gonna look like fools .
Hawktawk wrote:RD
“So you're saying that Sando is lying about his methodology, that he holds some sort of personal grudge against Seattle and/or Geno? Are you aware of Sando's credentials and his roots? He's a graduate of Whitworth University in Spokane, worked for the Tacoma News Tribune and covered the Hawks as a beat reporter. He's work at ESPN for 12 years and now writes for The Athletic. He's a member of the Professional Football Hall of Fame selection committee and is one of the most respected journalists in the industry. Why on Earth would someone with his resume intentionally fabricate a story like this ranking?
Like I said, you can discount the ranking if it doesn't fit your narrative. After all, it's just a composite made up of opinions and is somewhat subjective. But you're not going to be able to dismiss it by killing the messenger.
I would not use the word lie and I respect Sando . I don’t think he watched a minute actually dissecting Geno . Nor did the experts he used . It may well be his conclusion . It just is laughable what he and all these other people arrived at here . Opinions as you say are kind of like Aholes. Everyone has one . If you would like to explain how his 2021 numbers make him the #35 option in a 32 team league behind rookies a year ago who won zero , don’t even start . I agree Davis Mills is very underrated , my second best from last year . But the conclusion regarding smith is laughable. Bias from 10 years ago .
Hawktawk wrote:I would not use the word lie and I respect Sando . I don’t think he watched a minute actually dissecting Geno . Nor did the experts he used . It may well be his conclusion . It just is laughable what he and all these other people arrived at here . Opinions as you say are kind of like Aholes. Everyone has one . If you would like to explain how his 2021 numbers make him the #35 option in a 32 team league behind rookies a year ago who won zero , don’t even start . I agree Davis Mills is very underrated , my second best from last year . But the conclusion regarding smith is laughable. Bias from 10 years ago .
RiverDog wrote:No, you didn't say 'lied', but you might as well have when you said this:
"The sample he (Sando) SAYS he relied on . I don’t buy it."
By using all caps in the word "SAYS" strongly indicates that you believe Sando to be untruthful when he 'says' he relied on those sources.
And I wouldn't make the assumption that Sando didn't "watched a minute actually dissecting Geno". Sando is a true professional that does his own homework, and I would be shocked if he didn't spend a considerable amount of time dissecting all 35 of the QB's he rated. He knows that his work is going to be read by tens if not hundreds of thousands of fans and critics, including coaches, players, fans, and his fellow journalists. It's absurd to think that he's just going to haphazardly slap something together and put his name on it.
Aseahawkfan wrote:It's why you're literally the only person even on a forum with other people that think Russell's game fell off a cliff who still don't think much of Geno Smith. If you can't win more than you lose, you're a backup at best. That's how it is.
Geno's career numbers are terrible, absolute trash. 13 quarters of play where you go 1 and 2 or 1 and 3 if you include the end of the Rams game is not going to scare anyone in the NFL. Geno not only has to put up numbers, he has to win more often than he loses to get any respect.
RiverDog wrote:Well, I wouldn't go so far as to say that any QB that has lost more games than they won is a backup at best. I'm pretty sure that Mathew Stafford's career W/L is sub .500. There's quarterbacks in the HOF that have a losing W/L record, Sonny Jurgensen being one that comes to mind.
But outside of that, I agree with you. A while back, I did some research and found out that backup quarterbacks win about 34% of their starts, which is almost exactly what Geno did for us last season. Although he may turn it around this season, he's considered a backup QB, and is paid like one.
RiverDog wrote:Well, I wouldn't go so far as to say that any QB that has lost more games than they won is a backup at best. I'm pretty sure that Mathew Stafford's career W/L is sub .500. There's quarterbacks in the HOF that have a losing W/L record, Sonny Jurgensen being one that comes to mind.
But outside of that, I agree with you. A while back, I did some research and found out that backup quarterbacks win about 34% of their starts, which is almost exactly what Geno did for us last season. Although he may turn it around this season, he's considered a backup QB, and is paid like one.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Why is Sonny Jurgensen in the Hall of Fame? I thought you said the standards were super high back then? That career doesn't look like Hall of Fame at all. He wasn't even the starter when the team he was on won a championship.
It looks like one of those "amazing for his time period" reasons.
RiverDog wrote:This isn't really the thread for it as the Walrus thread would be more appropriate, so I'll just answer the one time and if you like, we can take it to the more appropriate thread.
Sonny Jurgensen was a 5 time Pro Bowler and won the NFL passing title 5 times. He was on the 1960's All Decade team. When he retired in 1974, he was 2nd all time NFL in career passing yards leader next to YA Tittle. The next earliest quarterback to have retired with more passing yards than Jurgensen was Ken Anderson, 12 years later, in 1986.
Check out some of these all time passing yards leaders. Jurgensen has more passing yards than HOF inductees Ken Stabler, Bart Starr, Len Dawson, John Brodie, Bob Griese, Joe Namath, and George Blanda, all who played either during the same period of time as Jorgensen, or in Stabler's case, a few years later. He belongs in the HOF.
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/ ... career.htm
Aseahawkfan wrote:You have inconsistent standards. No use in taking it to other threads. I don't want to debate something that has no consistent standard and of course not when you're so willing to toss aside your "championships are everything" mantra for a handful of players while applying it so staunchly to other players. It'll just end up being hamster wheel argument.
RiverDog wrote:You're missing my point. I did not post the info on Jurgensen to start a debate on the HOF. My point was that you can't always go by a W/L record when evaluating quarterbacks. Fran Tarkenton is another HOF QB that retired with a non winning record, at 102-102-3. Do you want to argue about the merits of his induction?
RiverDog wrote:You're missing my point. I did not post the info on Jurgensen to start a debate on the HOF. My point was that you can't always go by a W/L record when evaluating quarterbacks. Fran Tarkenton and John Brodie are two other HOF QB's that retired with a non winning records, Tarkenton at 102-102-3, Brodi at 74-76-8. Do you want to argue about the merits of their induction?
Hawktawk wrote:Completely agree with Asea on this . Imo Pete and Mike should get in . Russ is in . If he bombs in Denver it might slow him down but he’s going . I really don’t care much about the HOF and I won’t celebrate his induction. I didn’t Hutches either . But great teams put some marginal talent in hall of fames sometime which I get .
Hawktawk wrote:Completely agree with Asea on this . Imo Pete and Mike should get in . Russ is in . If he bombs in Denver it might slow him down but he’s going . I really don’t care much about the HOF and I won’t celebrate his induction. I didn’t Hutches either . But great teams put some marginal talent in hall of fames sometime which I get .
obiken wrote:Holmy no doubt, PC no. Just my opinion.
obiken wrote:Holmy no doubt, PC no. Just my opinion.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Why would Holmy be in and Pete no? Both have one Super Bowl. Pete built one of the best defenses in NFL history. I just don't get how Pete is a no at this point even with a shorter resume.
RiverDog wrote:I don't agree with that, either. There is a lot of doubt about Holmgren. With Pete, who knows. The only active coach that is a slam dunk is Belichick.
RiverDog wrote:I don't agree with that, either. There is a lot of doubt about Holmgren. With Pete, who knows. The only active coach that is a slam dunk is Belichick.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Yeah. Bill B is the only guaranteed first ballot, unanimous (unless he gets some no from the voters for the cheating) Hall of Fame coach who is the greatest coach in football history, certainly in the Super Bowl Era.
RiverDog wrote:I wouldn't go so far as to say that Belichick is the 'greatest coach in football history.' He's definitely the best in his era, but no matter what the sport is, I do not anoint anyone as the best ever, GOAT, or whatever. You're comparing apples with oranges.
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