tarlhawk wrote:2022 Hopeful/Doubtful Outlook by Position Group Breakdown
QB Bright Hope/Bridge/Nightmare
Geno Smith HT/WT 6'3 / 221 Age 32 Career 10 yrs Drafted 2013 NY Jets 2nd rd (pick 39) Contract/Impact 3.5 million (500K if cut) 2022 only
Fan Input : As a 2nd rd rookie in 2013 Geno stumbled out of the gate for the NY Jets after having a stellar College career. Missing out on becoming a significant starter he has been a highly capable back up. Hardly fitting as a "fresh start" candidate he has good "fit" bridge QB potential in a wide spread offense (his true value is a fall back option (should Drew Lock miss out on taking the job) since his knowledge as a well prepared backup gives him value in our system...and has good locker room respect and rapport. As a starter he fits the Bridge/Nightmare boxes.
Drew Lock HT/WT 6'4 /228 Age 26 Career 4 yrs Drafted 2019 Broncos 2nd rd (pick 42) Contract/Impact 1.5 million (0 if cut) 2022 only
Fan Input: Drew Lock was a promising rookie with a great college background who needed to go to a team who could coach him up (groom). His age and arm talent gives him a possible "fresh start" ability if he can drastically cut down on decision making mistakes (sometimes makes it easy by not "looking off" his primary target). Steve Young and Dan Fouts provided career turn arounds but they are the rare exceptions. Can Carroll/Waldron instill the necessary confidence to "unlock" (pun intended) Drew's career? As a potential starter he fits the mold of all three outcomes (Bright Hope/Bridge/Nightmare.
Wrap up: Replacing the leadership/fan assurance of our departed elite QB is a steep hill for any QB. The hopeful prognosis is that Waldron's "fit" and Pete's confidence building will deflate some of the risk of a Nightmare situation and provide some upside beyond the likely one year bridge QB that either of our starting QB represent.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Placeholder 1 and 2 should do what they normally do. Maybe Lock Placeholder 2 will show something real. But it won't much matter if the defense doesn't show they are a whole lot better than they've shown over the past 3 or 4 years. I'm far more interested in showing progress on defense and the run game than QB. QB won't much matter as we already had an elite performer that couldn't make much progress without a defense and run game that is more consistently good.
Hawktawk wrote:Without a dynamic QB Seattle will need the skill people and defense to be decent to compete . DK being out of practice is concerning as he is a guy that helps any QB greatly. Although rehabbing he is in California and its not clear whether he had permission or not.
Hawktawk wrote:It’s not unusual imo . Lots of players work it out including here . I heard an interview with Wags who is a personal friend of DK. He said “ he’s got a little bit of Sherman in him “ we need that fire .
RiverDog wrote:It’s not unusual imo . Lots of players work it out including here . I heard an interview with Wags who is a personal friend of DK. He said “ he’s got a little bit of Sherman in him “ we need that fire .
So when Metcalf, a player you seem to like, makes a contract demand its "we need that fire" but if Russell, a player you've grown to dislike, makes a similar demand, its selfishness and greed? How does that work?
MackStrongIsMyHero wrote:Russ isn’t hungry anymore. He has been well-fed and is looking for that to continue; I don’t see the fire in him anymore, but maybe a change of scenery will reignite it for him.
In another thread, I mentioned how DK doesn’t have a lot of leverage (see Field Gulls pre snap reads). He loses an accrued season if he holds out of training camp which means he’ll be a restricted free agent when his contract is up. Wouldn’t be in his best interest to do that if he’s looking to get paid (which he is). I hope and believe he’ll get an extension once training camp rolls around.
Old but Slow wrote:He is using good business sense. He knows that if he is not extended now, he will have to play this season with a new QB who will likely not give him the numbers that he got with Russell. If his numbers go down, his negotiating position goes down also.
It will probably cost $25m per to sign him, but that could look good in a couple of years. I am afraid of the kind of dithering that lost Frank Clark to KC. Big mistake.
Old but Slow wrote:He is using good business sense. He knows that if he is not extended now, he will have to play this season with a new QB who will likely not give him the numbers that he got with Russell. If his numbers go down, his negotiating position goes down also.
It will probably cost $25m per to sign him, but that could look good in a couple of years. I am afraid of the kind of dithering that lost Frank Clark to KC. Big mistake.
Good point about the possibility of Metcalf's lack of success without a franchise QB pitching him the ball, especially when you consider the youth movement along the OL might have some growing pains.
IMO the situation isn't analogous to Frank Clark. Besides the positional value between an edge rusher and a WR, we were not rebuilding then like we are now.
Old but Slow wrote:He is using good business sense. He knows that if he is not extended now, he will have to play this season with a new QB who will likely not give him the numbers that he got with Russell. If his numbers go down, his negotiating position goes down also.
It will probably cost $25m per to sign him, but that could look good in a couple of years. I am afraid of the kind of dithering that lost Frank Clark to KC. Big mistake.
MackStrongIsMyHero wrote:Russ isn’t hungry anymore. He has been well-fed and is looking for that to continue; I don’t see the fire in him anymore, but maybe a change of scenery will reignite it for him.
In another thread, I mentioned how DK doesn’t have a lot of leverage (see Field Gulls pre snap reads). He loses an accrued season if he holds out of training camp which means he’ll be a restricted free agent when his contract is up. Wouldn’t be in his best interest to do that if he’s looking to get paid (which he is). I hope and believe he’ll get an extension once training camp rolls around.
AseahawkfanRuss isn’t hungry anymore. He has been well-fed and is looking for that to continue; I don’t see the fire in him anymore, but maybe a change of scenery will r[quote="Aseahawkfan wrote:
The only thing I see is a team with degrading talent and the QB with no fire was the only thing keeping us in the playoffs. He's worth at least 4 to 6 wins a year.
NorthHawk wrote:I’m not going to underestimate our FOs ability to screw it up again with another contract or personnel move.
tarlhawk wrote:Few fans myself included get engaged with the business end of the NFL. As fans we just want to see our favorite players out there bringing the excitement we've gotten used to. There is an imposed salary cap and therefor not an open checkbook. John Schneider isn't linked at the hip to Pete Carroll so the fact that he is still the GM is also the result of his "bad cop" role...he can't allow himself to become too attached personally with players he likes to watch grow into their best because he holds the heavy responsibility of keeping the best team as a whole financially. DK is a young budding NFL superstar at a highlighted position which represents our teams franchise label.
I saw a recent teleconference of Drew Lock and he quoted something a guy had told him in College..."comparison is the destroyer of joy". DK like any elite player sees his contract as a measure of how his worth is viewed by the team he plays for...and right now other teams are throwing insane money at the WR position so contract comparison goes beyond temptation. I know the contract negotiations are a necessary evil and all GM's like to keep the "chess match" behind closed doors to the public and media.
I feel DK is choosing his battles to gain leverage but I know our most bitter negotiations have been when a player resorts to "holding out". John Schneider resists too much creative structuring in borrowing "future cap money" and so fan frustration can be the result. Both sides want the deal done and even though our "cap pressure" has gotten some relief from losing Russ and Bobby...there are other team "stars" and future "stars" once our QB situation is restored...that will cause some GM "push back" against removing sane financial considerations. My hope is a June/July contract resolve.
RiverDog wrote:Few fans myself included get engaged with the business end of the NFL. As fans we just want to see our favorite players out there bringing the excitement we've gotten used to. There is an imposed salary cap and therefor not an open checkbook. John Schneider isn't linked at the hip to Pete Carroll so the fact that he is still the GM is also the result of his "bad cop" role...he can't allow himself to become too attached personally with players he likes to watch grow into their best because he holds the heavy responsibility of keeping the best team as a whole financially. DK is a young budding NFL superstar at a highlighted position which represents our teams franchise label.
I saw a recent teleconference of Drew Lock and he quoted something a guy had told him in College..."comparison is the destroyer of joy". DK like any elite player sees his contract as a measure of how his worth is viewed by the team he plays for...and right now other teams are throwing insane money at the WR position so contract comparison goes beyond temptation. I know the contract negotiations are a necessary evil and all GM's like to keep the "chess match" behind closed doors to the public and media.
I feel DK is choosing his battles to gain leverage but I know our most bitter negotiations have been when a player resorts to "holding out". John Schneider resists too much creative structuring in borrowing "future cap money" and so fan frustration can be the result. Both sides want the deal done and even though our "cap pressure" has gotten some relief from losing Russ and Bobby...there are other team "stars" and future "stars" once our QB situation is restored...that will cause some GM "push back" against removing sane financial considerations. My hope is a June/July contract resolve.
If we're going to extend Metcalf, we'd better do it now. The longer we wait, the more expensive it's going to be and the more of a distraction it will become.
Deebo Samuel is disgruntled and is up for an extension. His deal could easily top Kupp's and re-set the market.
Hawktawk wrote:He is 6-9 in his last 15 games including 11-29 with a pick 6 in his last playoff game . In those 9 losses he has lost to 4 backups including Colt McCoy twice with one being the awful giants .
Asea I know it’s 13 quarters . He could turn back into Geno Weeno the moment they put the “starter “ label on him . I get it . Happens to lots of guys like Fitzmagic fitztragic.
Lock could win win out which would be awesome . The thing I try to point out and nobody got is that for 13 quarters including stretches of very high play he proved it’s possible to move the ball without Russell Wilson . There is life and hope . Why is that a bad thing ? . We were rebuilding last year record wise .
tarlhawk wrote:With a lot of time to watch various film study breakdowns and knowing that Shane Waldron has some QB coaching magic in his background...I will go on record here with a solid tick for Drew Lock. A prototype size with athletic pocket maneuverability ...Drew's arm (which got GM John Schneider excited) is a triggered cannon which can allow a WR who gets quick separation (DK/Lockett) a quick catch without slow down. A strong running game will play to Drew's strength...which is Run/Pass option (Play Action). Denver has a decent WR corps but seeing them in much of the film breakdown makes appreciation for DK and Lockett an emphatic advantage!
Hawktawk wrote:Based on comments from Geno complimenting Drew it looks like a happy QB room with 2 guys who respect one another.
NorthHawk wrote: Fant had a problem with drops last year
NorthHawk wrote:Jeudy has been cleared of any wrong doing in his case - no further action wil be taken.
Fant had a problem with drops last year, so maybe it's a net benefit to the Broncos as they weren't too upset about him leaving.
The Broncos would have been tough against us even if they didn't have Wilson.
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