RiverDog wrote:You're the one that ought to be establishing a criteria. You're the one that made the statement that Pete would still ground and pound the rock even if he was behind. You should be showing me the numbers rather than forcing me to do your homework for you.
However, to answer your question, in today's NFL, if you run more than you pass, ie 50% or greater running plays, then it's a run heavy, pound the rock offense. That happened in just one of our 9 losses in 2010. As a matter of fact, during the entire 2010 season, we ran the ball just 41% of the time. It was before we had a great defense, before Russell Wilson had arrived, and Beast had just arrived in a mid season trade. Before then our lead running back was Justin Forsett, not exactly a pound the rock sort of guy.
Compare that 41% run percentage in 2010 and 47% in 2011 when we still didn't have a top 5 defense or a running quarterback, to 57% in 2012, 55% in 2013, and 54% in 2014, the height of our LOB when Russell was running read options, Beast was at the peak of his career, and we had top 5 defenses.
Bottom line is that when Pete didn't have a top 5 defense ie 2010 and 2011, he didn't run the ball. Pete Ball only works when you have a very good defense like he did in 2012, 2013, and 2014 with a point guard like Russell Wilson running it. Unless he has a defense that limits the scoring of his opponents, Pete won't be running the ball more than 50% of the time.
Aseahawkfan wrote:You have done the work. And have your proven your case. I concede this point to you, sir. Seems Pete may abandon the run if we are getting blown out and let the QBs throw like crazy. I guess that will will tell him if these QBs are worth investing in.
NorthHawk wrote:The philosophy of keeping it close then win at the end requires a QB that is a talented passer.
I’m not sure we have a QB on the the roster that an pull it off on a regular basis. At least
none of them have shown to have that quality.
RiverDog wrote:The philosophy of keeping it close then win at the end requires a QB that is a talented passer.
I’m not sure we have a QB on the the roster that an pull it off on a regular basis. At least
none of them have shown to have that quality.
Not only that, but he has to take care of the ball. That's one of the things that made Russell the perfect QB to run Pete Ball, because he was very good at protecting the football. Both Geno and Lock have had problems with turnovers during their careers.
c_hawkbob wrote:Still hanging your hat on three games instead of his entire body of work (34 TDs - 37 INTs), good luck with that.
c_hawkbob wrote:Still hanging your hat on three games instead of his entire body of work (34 TDs - 37 INTs), good luck with that.
RiverDog wrote:Still hanging your hat on three games instead of his entire body of work (34 TDs - 37 INTs), good luck with that.
Geno threw all but one of those interceptions while playing for the Jets, and that was 8 years ago, so they don't count. Only last season counts, and even the one Geno threw last year wasn't his fault as his receiver fell down. Plus the strip sack fumble that sealed our fate against the Steelers last season wasn't his fault, either, as TJ Watt made a great play forcing the turnover. There's not a single quarterback in NFL history that could have held onto the ball on a play like that.
The best gauge of Geno's ability is the game against Jacksonville last season when he went 20-24 with 2 TD's and no interceptions. DK Metcalf said that Geno is the best quarterback he's ever played for.
I thought I'd save Hawktalk some work.
NorthHawk wrote:Not going to happen.
Hawktawk wrote:We shall see. Who will come into that game with pressure ? Who will come in with a boulder on their shoulder . 1 is dog meat coming off a last place finish traded the best qb in the history of the game. That guy said he wanted out to be able to win . The pundits are split but most expect them to contend. My bet is Seattle is going to be a home dog to a team with a Qb who disrespected them .
Getcha popcorn . Superteams on paper don’t always turn out that way . Nor do bottom feeders
Hawktawk wrote:We shall see. Who will come into that game with pressure ? Who will come in with a boulder on their shoulder . 1 is dog meat coming off a last place finish traded the best qb in the history of the game. That guy said he wanted out to be able to win . The pundits are split but most expect them to contend. My bet is Seattle is going to be a home dog to a team with a Qb who disrespected them .
Getcha popcorn . Superteams on paper don’t always turn out that way . Nor do bottom feeders
Aseahawkfan wrote:We already have a historical pattern for a Pete team in this position. It's a 5 to 7 win team. Not the worst team in the league, but not a real playoff contender.
All any of us care to see during this rebuild is improvement. If the team starts moving in the right direction on defense while we wait for Pete and John to find the next QB, most of us will be pretty happy.
The defense was going in the wrong direction. A Pete team with a bad defense isn't a Pete Carroll team. They needed to do something to replenish the talent on the defensive side of the ball. Pete's football philosophy don't work without a good defense and run game.
This Russ trade may have allowed us to rebuild real quick if these tackles work out and we now have Penny on a "show me you're real" contract and this new guy putting pressure on as well. Got a nice pass rush prospect and hopefully Darryl Taylor will keep getting better.
Now we just need some of these picks to work out, especially in the secondary, and maybe this defense can start moving in the right direction again.
RiverDog wrote:I agree, except that I'm not going to be "pretty happy" waiting for Pete and John to find our next QB. I wanted both of them gone at the end of this past season, so if we have another 5-7 win season this year, I'm going to want someone's head. Even if they were able to stumble onto our next QBOTF, I have very little confidence that they can find that magic once again and build a perennial contender.
RiverDog wrote:I agree, except that I'm not going to be "pretty happy" waiting for Pete and John to find our next QB. I wanted both of them gone at the end of this past season, so if we have another 5-7 win season this year, I'm going to want someone's head. Even if they were able to stumble onto our next QBOTF, I have very little confidence that they can find that magic once again and build a perennial contender.
Hawktawk wrote:I completely agree. DK and our skill players in general are the key to being competetive with a non franchise qb. And potentially we have one of the best skill position groups in the league to put around whoever is taking snaps .
Aseahawkfan wrote:Shootouts with the QB throwing to your high quality receivers is not what we want to be doing with Pete as head coach.
NorthHawk wrote:And yet since Marshawn left, the team rarely had an emphasis on the run game.
Time and again they messed up getting a good OL and bypassed top RBs, so it’s
difficult to think Pete really is committed to the run game even though it fits
the image we have of Pete’s system.
NorthHawk wrote:Exactly.
Crappy drafting and no clue how to build a solid OL.
Bypassed Chubb and Taylor while knowing our RBs have not been able to complete a full season since Marshawn left.
It’s a big part of the decline in talent.
NorthHawk wrote:It occurred to me about the decline of this team under Carroll that having the best players is incompatible with "Always Compete".
Consider that Pete says that every job is on the line (the basic philosophy of his coaching) yet at the same time who was going to
compete with Wilson, Wagner, Sherman, ET, Kam, Lynch, Avril, Bennett, maybe KJ Wright at that time?
So with these Pro Bowlers and All Pros on the team, how can that philosophy be reinforced year after year?
I'm wondering if maybe that's why this regime might be better at building a team than maintaining one that's near the best.
NorthHawk wrote:Exactly.
Crappy drafting and no clue how to build a solid OL.
Bypassed Chubb and Taylor while knowing our RBs have not been able to complete a full season since Marshawn left.
It’s a big part of the decline in talent.
NorthHawk wrote:With Chubb, they bypassed a proven winner who dominated at the highest level in College for a player from a lesser football division who only had 1 year play time.
Chubb fit all of their physical and toughness parameters that we have used in drafting as well as being one of the most explosive RBs in that draft.
It was simply another case of JS thinking he was smarter than everyone else and getting burned playing stupid games. And we paid the price for 4 years because of it.
With Taylor we bypassed the best runner in the draft after years of picking up RBs off the street at the end of the year because of known health issues with the starters
and we see him leading the league in explosive runs and TDs.
Well done, Front Office.
NorthHawk wrote:With Chubb, they bypassed a proven winner who dominated at the highest level in College for a player from a lesser football division who only had 1 year play time.
Chubb fit all of their physical and toughness parameters that we have used in drafting as well as being one of the most explosive RBs in that draft.
It was simply another case of JS thinking he was smarter than everyone else and getting burned playing stupid games. And we paid the price for 4 years because of it.
With Taylor we bypassed the best runner in the draft after years of picking up RBs off the street at the end of the year because of known health issues with the starters
and we see him leading the league in explosive runs and TDs.
Well done, Front Office.
NorthHawk wrote:Yup.
Penny was in the conversation for MVP, unlike Taylor wasn't he.
Penny has shown the last 4 years that he's capable of being the bell cow RB a running team needs, hasn't he.
Penny has been worth more to his team than either Chubb or Taylor, hasn't he.
Penny has been so good the team signed him long term, wasn't he.
Great pick FO. You really got your money's worth the last 4 years.
NorthHawk wrote:Yup.
Penny was in the conversation for MVP, unlike Taylor wasn't he.
Penny has shown the last 4 years that he's capable of being the bell cow RB a running team needs, hasn't he.
Penny has been worth more to his team than either Chubb or Taylor, hasn't he.
Penny has been so good the team signed him long term, wasn't he.
Great pick FO. You really got your money's worth the last 4 years.
tarlhawk wrote:Boy you really hold a grudge over someone who sustains a major injury? The fact that you seem forced to compare Penny to two very talented NFL running backs is very telling of the value of Penny and less reflective of any argument for your point of view...Jonathan Taylor has been healthy and plays behind a respected O-Line. Chubb has overcome a major injury in college and plays for a team that has benefited from playing so mediocre they've had sustained high draft capital and cap space (until the latest signing for DeShaun Watson).
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