I'm afraid that this is what Trump is going to leave as his legacy: A nation heading towards socialism who's voting population hasn't fully thought the matter through.
I'm afraid that this is what Trump is going to leave as his legacy: A nation heading towards socialism who's voting population hasn't fully thought the matter through.
burrrton wrote:This may be entirely correct. Scary.
Love George Will.
If you read some of his other recent pieces, he's no fan of DJT.
Hawktawk wrote:This right here^^^^. But you’re not describing the party correctly . It’s no longer the Republican Party at all. It’s the trump party.
Hawktawk wrote:The prospect of runaway liberalism/socialism is a nauseating concept to they and I and I’m certainly not alone but the party’s Neanderthal positions on most every issue and the baring of every negative stereotype the party has tried to shake for decades will drive this nation to a whipsaw reaction.
Hawktawk wrote:I think we saw it in the midterms where the trump base turned out in force and was still overwhelmed by almost 9 points and 6 million votes in the national popular vote.
Hawktawk wrote:Polls show Trump losing to not just Biden but socialist sanders and far left liberals like warren , gay mayor Buttigieg, Harris etc. Honestly he would likely be losing to Daffy Duck or dirt clod if it were in the poll.
RiverDog wrote:Way too early to start looking at head-to-head matchups. Although it's always better to be ahead in the polls than it is behind, we're still over 16 months from the general election. A lot can happen between now and then. The Dems could very well shoot themselves in the foot if they let the liberal wing of the party run the show.
RiverDog wrote:Way too early to start looking at head-to-head matchups. Although it's always better to be ahead in the polls than it is behind, we're still over 16 months from the general election. A lot can happen between now and then. The Dems could very well shoot themselves in the foot if they let the liberal wing of the party run the show.
idhawkman wrote:According to most indicators, (polls, news, etc) it really doesn't matter until about 10 days before the election. Wasn't that when the news and left said that Comey turned the election around by announcing the Weiner emails?
Hawktawk wrote:But IMO foreign in interference may be the only hope Trump has in 2020 if he faces Biden, O'Rourke, or Harris to name a few. If he's lucky enough to Draw Sanders which is less and less likely or god forbid Warren then maybe.
Buttigeig is a complete wild card. The gay married thing is the only reason hes not leading in the polls IMO as he is a very intelligent well spoken man with a history of service to his country and proven ability to run a government organization, a knowledge of the issues etc.
Hawktawk wrote: It's not the message so much as the man. I think it was Asea that said everyone is just getting sick of him. His tweets get far fewer re tweets, his continual name calling and 5th grade insults are increasingly falling flat. Then the party he controls with its all out attacks on any access to abortion etc when Trump is already in the mid 30% range among women is a disaster. Nobody likes abortion but 70+ % think it should be legal in some fashion.Again, it's a cro magnon neanderthal stupid ham fisted strategy employed by a bunch of old white men against one of the most powerful and reliable voting blocs in the country. Even among evangelicals his support has slipped to 69%.
Trump might have gone too far in his re-tweet of the faked video of Pelosi being drunk during an interview.
Trump might have gone too far in his re-tweet of the faked video of Pelosi being drunk during an interview.
burrrton wrote:He didn't RT the slowed-down video- he RT'd one that was a 'supercut' of her stumbling statements (she's like Obama impromptu- terrible).
Hawktawk wrote:ID and I dont usually agree in OT but unless he was being totally sarcastic the weiner E mails might have been the lynchpin that finally doomed the worst least popular Democratic candidate ever to lose to the worst most unpopular republican candidate ever. She ran a terrible campaign from her slogan to her lazy overconfident attitude ignoring rust belt states she thought were in the bag to her idiotic basket of deplorables comment that trumps zombie army wore as a badge of honor. Then there was the Russian interference the impact of which cannot really be accurately measured but may have tipped several close states such as Michigan where Trump won by 11 K votes out of many millions cast.
It was recently revealed that the Russian intelligence hackers had actually breached the voter rolls in at least 2 Florida counties in 2016. The FBI briefed some state lawmakers a few weeks ago but only after they signed a non disclosure agreement, highly unusual to say the least. One county in the panhandle was leaked and records show it went 75% for trump. As I say we will never know the full extent of it and Trump just said come on back in 2020 on ABC.
But IMO foreign in interference may be the only hope Trump has in 2020 if he faces Biden, O'Rourke, or Harris to name a few. If he's lucky enough to Draw Sanders which is less and less likely or god forbid Warren then maybe.
Buttigeig is a complete wild card. The gay married thing is the only reason hes not leading in the polls IMO as he is a very intelligent well spoken man with a history of service to his country and proven ability to run a government organization, a knowledge of the issues etc.
Either way I think Trump's polls do matter quite a bit. He inherited a good economy, a booming stock market, relative peace abroad and can claim to have at least kept several campaign promises and tried to keep others and yet hes NEVER been above water at any point in 2.5 years in office.He's in the low to mid 50s disapproval in the rust belt. Hes well behind Biden in TEXAS and when no democratic candidate has led any republican candidate there in 30 years 18 months out of the election that matters.Every time he starts inching up he does some stupid thing to shoot himself in the foot.
It's not the message so much as the man. I think it was Asea that said everyone is just getting sick of him. His tweets get far fewer re tweets, his continual name calling and 5th grade insults are increasingly falling flat. Then the party he controls with its all out attacks on any access to abortion etc when Trump is already in the mid 30% range among women is a disaster. Nobody likes abortion but 70+ % think it should be legal in some fashion.Again, it's a cro magnon neanderthal stupid ham fisted strategy employed by a bunch of old white men against one of the most powerful and reliable voting blocs in the country. Even among evangelicals his support has slipped to 69%
Barring some monumental breakthrough in trade, perhaps a war or him going and getting help for his mental illness and getting on some prescription meds I think hes a one term guy. And barring a pardon or something he might be the first indicted ex president.
Aseahawkfan wrote:The socialism young people support is not the European socialism of old, but the new Social Democracy of places like Scandinavia and Germany. These place are socio-capitalist. They have socialized medicine and higher education along with the standard services we socialize like the military, police, and bureaucracy, but they also support capitalism. In fact, I think a little German style capitalism would be good for the nation. Germany strongly supports small to mid-sized businesses incentivizing larger corporations to use small and mid size businesses as their primary supplier. It is called the Mittelstand. It's a very good business model.
I don't fear the socialism being promoted by the modern left like Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez as much as others. It's not your Grandpa's Socialism. It may be good for the nation.
Hawktawk wrote:ID and I dont usually agree in OT but unless he was being totally sarcastic the weiner E mails might have been the lynchpin that finally doomed the worst least popular Democratic candidate ever to lose to the worst most unpopular republican candidate ever. She ran a terrible campaign from her slogan to her lazy overconfident attitude ignoring rust belt states she thought were in the bag to her idiotic basket of deplorables comment that trumps zombie army wore as a badge of honor. Then there was the Russian interference the impact of which cannot really be accurately measured but may have tipped several close states such as Michigan where Trump won by 11 K votes out of many millions cast.
It was recently revealed that the Russian intelligence hackers had actually breached the voter rolls in at least 2 Florida counties in 2016. The FBI briefed some state lawmakers a few weeks ago but only after they signed a non disclosure agreement, highly unusual to say the least. One county in the panhandle was leaked and records show it went 75% for trump. As I say we will never know the full extent of it and Trump just said come on back in 2020 on ABC.
But IMO foreign in interference may be the only hope Trump has in 2020 if he faces Biden, O'Rourke, or Harris to name a few. If he's lucky enough to Draw Sanders which is less and less likely or god forbid Warren then maybe.
Buttigeig is a complete wild card. The gay married thing is the only reason hes not leading in the polls IMO as he is a very intelligent well spoken man with a history of service to his country and proven ability to run a government organization, a knowledge of the issues etc.
Either way I think Trump's polls do matter quite a bit. He inherited a good economy, a booming stock market, relative peace abroad and can claim to have at least kept several campaign promises and tried to keep others and yet hes NEVER been above water at any point in 2.5 years in office.He's in the low to mid 50s disapproval in the rust belt. Hes well behind Biden in TEXAS and when no democratic candidate has led any republican candidate there in 30 years 18 months out of the election that matters.Every time he starts inching up he does some stupid thing to shoot himself in the foot.
It's not the message so much as the man. I think it was Asea that said everyone is just getting sick of him. His tweets get far fewer re tweets, his continual name calling and 5th grade insults are increasingly falling flat. Then the party he controls with its all out attacks on any access to abortion etc when Trump is already in the mid 30% range among women is a disaster. Nobody likes abortion but 70+ % think it should be legal in some fashion.Again, it's a cro magnon neanderthal stupid ham fisted strategy employed by a bunch of old white men against one of the most powerful and reliable voting blocs in the country. Even among evangelicals his support has slipped to 69%
Barring some monumental breakthrough in trade, perhaps a war or him going and getting help for his mental illness and getting on some prescription meds I think hes a one term guy. And barring a pardon or something he might be the first indicted ex president.
RiverDog wrote:
OK, my bad, I was mistaken on exactly which fake video Trump re-tweeted. The point is that he's spreading faked videos that show a political opponent in a bad light. I don't want to go so far as to say that he knew it was fake before he tweeted it, but it sure fits with a pattern of behavior of his that includes his mocking of a disabled reporter and his continued disrespect for a dead war hero that IMO constitutes a disgrace to the office he holds.
It's this type of behavior I was referring to in an earlier post of mine when I said that a POTUS is more than just the head of the government, that I want a person with a little more sense of respect and personal dignity to represent me as the leader of my country.
idhawkman wrote:He didn't retweet a fake video River. He retweeted a collage of her stumbling and bumbling through many impromptu questions. She's ok with talking points but I think she's losing a couple of steps in the impromptu area. She's never really been good in this area (think about the "we have to pass it to find out what's in it" statement around Obamacare).
RiverDog wrote:Trump re-tweeted a video that was edited/doctored/altered, pick your term. It was not an accurate re-creation of what she was recorded as having said and was manufactured in such a way as to show her in a bad light. In layman's terms, it was a fake.
And once again, it's more of your "pot calling the kettle black" if you're critical of Pelosi' "losing a couple of steps in the impromptu area" without mentioning Trump's almost daily gaffs.
RiverDog wrote:Trump re-tweeted a video that was edited/doctored/altered, pick your term. It was not an accurate re-creation of what she was recorded as having said and was manufactured in such a way as to show her in a bad light. In layman's terms, it was a fake.
idhawkman wrote:I must have missed the one you are talking about. Is there a link?
RiverDog wrote:Yes, it scares me to think of what would happen if the liberal Dems take control and ram their brand of socialism down our throats.
RiverDog wrote:Yes, it scares me to think of what would happen if the liberal Dems take control and ram their brand of socialism down our throats.
burrrton wrote:There's also the small matter of the examples they point to where their Socialism** supposedly "works" are places literally a fraction of our size (with little national defense, etc and so on).
What works (to the extent it does) for a tiny, homogenous population can't be directly translated to a nation of 330 million people spread across 50 states covering ~4 million square miles.
** Also, they're not Socialist states. You know who says so? They do. They're capitalistic *welfare states*, and if you want to move a country our size to their style of welfare state, "how are you going to pay for it" is damn sure a question you need to answer.
Can you imagine what it would be like if the federal government suddenly doubled or tripled the number of people on Medicare or Medicaid?
Can you imagine what it would be like if the federal government suddenly doubled or tripled the number of people on Medicare or Medicaid?
burrrton wrote:Oh, c'mon, RD- we'd just grow a herd of unicorns to crap out skittles that doctors would start accepting as payment in lieu of money!
RiverDog wrote:Oh, come off it! Lou Dobbs on Fox Business, your home away from home, was the first network to air the fake. And you tell me that I don't pay attention. Oh, well, here it is, first the original, undoctored version:
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/w ... real-thing
And the fake that Trump re-tweeted that was aired on Fox:
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/sta ... hocking%2F
At least Pelosi doesn’t sound like a 5th grade mentally handicapped person speaking publicly
Hawktawk wrote:Good lord any trump supporter judging anyone else’s speaking habits looks ludicrous
At least Pelosi doesn’t sound like a 5th grade mentally handicapped person speaking publicly
burrrton wrote:Fact not in evidence, there, Counsel.
At least Pelosi doesn’t sound like a 5th grade mentally handicapped person speaking publicly
burrrton wrote:Fact not in evidence, there, Counsel.
c_hawkbob wrote:Facts in abundant evidence!
RiverDog wrote:ASF, you often times chide me and others about our failure in your eyes to educate ourselves on some historical aspect in world affairs. Have you researched what this move towards socialism, particularly in the field of medicine will mean if the liberal Dems take control? Well, I have, and what I've read scares me. Here's two examples:
The United States is BY FAR the country that spends the most money and produces the most new and effective drugs in the world. Take a look at this chart:
https://www.quora.com/Which-country-dev ... tive-drugs
Other countries with socialist medicine sponge off our research and development. If we go to a socialistic system similar to those in western Europe and regulate drug companies by fixing prices, we will indeed lower our cost to acquire drugs that are currently available, but without a profit motive, companies will start cutting back on R&D and instead focus on producing existing drugs as cheaply as they can. New drugs take an extremely long time to test and refine before they can get approved by the FDA. If you sell those new drugs at the same price it costs to manufacture generic drugs, they will not be able to recover their R&D expenses.
Here's another article that shows where most of the research and development in the field of medicine is being done and compares our performance against western Europe that everyone is so anxious for us to model our medical system after:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewher ... d869eb1a71
Of almost 3,000 articles published in biomedical research in 2009, 1,169, or 40%, came from the United States. As the line graph below demonstrates (that’s the number of publications on the Y axis, and the year of publication on the X axis), the output of every other single country in the world is dwarfed by what America produces. The closest contender is Great Britain, which comes in at about 300 articles.
Once again, those people in our country are doing that research not because they are being motivated by some humanistic quality that only people in the United States posses. They're doing it because they are being funded by companies that are looking to make a profit off new drugs, new equipment, new medical procedures, and so on.
I could cite other examples, but hopefully I've made my point. Yes, it scares me to think of what would happen if the liberal Dems take control and ram their brand of socialism down our throats.
burrrton wrote:There's also the small matter of the examples they point to where their Socialism** supposedly "works" are places literally a fraction of our size (with little national defense, etc and so on, as you allude to).
What works (to the extent it does) for a tiny, homogenous population can't be directly translated to a nation of 330 million people spread across 50 states covering ~4 million square miles.
** Also, they're not Socialist states. You know who says so? They do. They're capitalistic *welfare states* (and trending more capitalistic by the year), and if you want to move a country our size to their style of welfare state, you damn sure better be able to coherently answer the question "How are you going to pay for it?" (looking at you, Ocasio).
Aseahawkfan wrote:But at the same time, is all this medical development necessary? Is it prolonging our lives? Is the cost we pay worth the advanced tech? I'm not sure. I'm not seeing us as healthier than other nations. I'm also not seeing our infant mortality rate showing marked improvement over other nations. I'm not seeing our average age of death improving compared to other nations.
Aseahawkfan wrote:That's why I can live with it either way. Sure, there are horror stories in socialized medicine nations. But there are horror stories in our nation of people not getting quality medical care if they don't have enough money, insurance companies refusing to cover certain technologies or procedures, waiting lists for organ transplants, malpractice by doctors leaving surgical instruments in people, and a variety of other horror stories.
It's a definite trade off. At the same time I don't see Germans, Canadians, and Scandinavians hating life or anything like say a third world nation. Even folks on Medicare, which is a government managed system, seem to be doing ok. Let's just say I'm more open to exploration of socialized medicine than many others. To me it seems we're already socialized through private insurance. Most people in the nation can't afford medical care without insurance and I'm not sure how I see that as different than a managed care system similar to Canada or Germany.
Sure, there are systemic trade-offs. I'm not sure the tradeoffs would be as bad as outlined in the horror stories, especially for most working folk that don't have amazing medical insurance. So given the evidence, I'm not much buying into the conservative Armageddon theories surrounding socialized medicine. We have some very well managed socialized services in the United States like the Fire Department and military. We might able to come up with a good socialized medicine system.
RiverDog wrote:Life expectancy is just one measure. There's also the cost component that has to be considered. For example, can robotic surgeries reduce the number of physicians and support staff required for an open heart surgery? Can more surgeries be done in less expensive surgery centers vs. expensive overnight stays in hospitals? I had a knee replacement done 18 months ago, and it was done in a hospital and required an overnight stay. Can it be done in the same manner as my hernia repair surgery that was performed across the street from the hospital and got me home the same day? Keeping costs low will make insurance more affordable. Additionally, there's a quality of life component in the health care equation. Can modern advances help mitigate the effects of arthritis, which is the #1 affliction that seniors say affects their quality of life? Being afflicted with arthritis myself, eliminating it might not extend my life, but it would sure open up more activities for me that prevents me from doing now. We go to a socialized system and eliminate the profit motive, it will have an adverse effect on advances in quality of life enhancement. There will be no motivation to discover new drugs that can reduce the possibility of infection and shorten or eliminate hospital stays because the developing company won't be allowed to profit from them.
Like I said earlier, the problem is that those countries like Canada, Germany, and Norway that have socialized medicine have been sponging off our R&D for decades, benefiting from the advances but not paying the cost of supporting R&D. What's going to happen to their systems if we eliminate the profit motive from ours?
Aseahawkfan wrote:It depends. Can we leverage our universities to advance medical science? A lot of the technology private companies eventually commercialize is developed in universities or with private funds. CRISPR technology as an example wasn't developed in a private lab. It was researched by publicly and privately funded scientists at universities. https://www.quantamagazine.org/crispr-natural-history-in-bacteria-20150206/ Much of our medical tech is first built off research at universities and the like, then private companies try to find different uses for the technology. Some successful, most not. We would have to find ways to continue to fund new research to improve our medical technology, perhaps with grants and the like. We would have to see.
Like I said earlier, the problem is that those countries like Canada, Germany, and Norway that have socialized medicine have been sponging off our R&D for decades, benefiting from the advances but not paying the cost of supporting R&D. What's going to happen to their systems if we eliminate the profit motive from ours?
Aseahawkfan wrote:Do you like paying this crazy amount of money to fund medical research? You've got companies like Gilead charging insane fees up to 500% more or higher for the same drug to Americans. Is it fair to our citizens to make them pay the cost of medical advancement worldwide for what is not amounting to improved health and longevity? We literally don't rank high on the health markers. We have a huge obesity issue. We could do more to make our nation healthier by forcing diet modifications or severely taxing companies selling this incredibly unhealthy food forcing those that wish to consume it to the pay the increased cost for their health issues. Obesity related health issues cost us huge sums of money every year and everyone has to pay that with higher insurance and medical costs regardless of how well you maintain your health.
I see a lot of ways we can improve the health system. It's difficult to make the necessary moves while for profit companies are charging us crazy prizes and trying to create drugs to deal with every malady even when a non-drug or medical procedure method would be far better for humanity overall.
RiverDog wrote:Drug companies are the largest sponsors of medical research at colleges and universities in the United States:
https://thevaccinereaction.org/2018/04/ ... u-s-today/
If we take the profit motive out of the equation, those contributions will dry up, and with the government encumbered with a hugely expensive Medicare for All program, it's highly unlikely that they could support medical research. From the article above:
Universities and other academic institutions are relying more on funding from the pharmaceutical industry.3 The driving force of this reliance stems from the need for large amounts of funding that may not be available from government agencies such as the National Institutes of Health (NIH)
No, it's not fair for us to pay for the high cost of drugs while citizens in other countries get the same medicine much cheaper. As I've said, they're sponging off drugs that are procured in this country via the high prices we pay for new and experimental drugs and procedures. But it is what it is. The alternative is going to a single payer system and not doing the research at all and have drug companies just provide us with generic products.
There are lots of ways to reduce your drug costs. As I've indicated, my wife has both MS and rheumatoid arthritis, so she's on 6 or 7 different drugs, some that appear very expensive at first glance. But we've found huge price differences between various pharmacies. One drug, with my wife's Medicare Part D insurance, was available at Walmart for over $100. She called around and got the same drug at Costco for less than $10 w/o going through insurance. The GoodRX cards available in most doctors offices and over the internet provide for some large discounts. Most drug companies have programs that will subsidize the cost of some drugs for low income people but you have to apply to get their lower price. The problem is that most people either aren't aware of the different prices or don't go to the trouble to shop around. Another problem is that those that live in someplace like Ritzville don't have dozens of pharmacies they can buy from.
Aseahawkfan wrote:You're listing money spent without listing success rates of drug development. So much money gets tossed at medicine to what effect? Are we living better than other nations? Are the medicines we take curing us or curing one symptom only to cause three more that require more drugs?
Aseahawkfan wrote:GoodRX and similar services are a big help if the pharmacy uses them.
I still don't know. Sometimes it seems like drug development is a lot of snakeoil with some gems. Some of the drug efficacy rates are so low as to provide a marginal chance of life improvement. Sometimes the cost is everything that person has. When you're selling someone even the smallest chance of survival, they make some bad emotionally driven decisions. I wonder if we can come up with a more efficient, better managed system than encouraging this amount of snake oil for a few good medicines.
Ever since I started investing in biotech and drugs, I've seen so much rotten behavior, failure, and tons of money tossed around hoping for one perhaps useful drug they can charge some person their life savings to give them a shot at a better life. I feel we might have accomplished the same level of efficacy for less money. Our military is a great example of a socialized system that still draws investment from private industry even though they don't have the same money to spend were they private. It seems maybe we could do the same with medicine without having as much snake oil money going around.
burrrton wrote:At least Pelosi doesn’t sound like a 5th grade mentally handicapped person speaking publicly
Fact not in evidence, there, Counsel.
Hawktawk wrote:At least Pelosi doesn’t sound like a 5th grade mentally handicapped person speaking publicly
burrrton wrote:Fact not in evidence, there, Counsel.
Hawktawk wrote:Pelosi sounds like an 80 year old woman who is not the best public speaker and probably suffering a bit of mental decline like most 80 year olds. My point is just listen to Trump repeat "we'll see what happens" "lets see what happens" one million times![]()
The slow 5th grader monotone delivery when reading the teleprompter to avoid saying truly stupid things, the zillion misspelled tweets on foreign policy etc, things that should be handled privately in meetings and on the phone...
Trump supporters are just ridiculous criticizing Pelosi, Biden or anyone else for their linguistic style , gaffes or anything else.
I agree with Hawktalk that Trump supporters are truly the pot calling the kettle black if they choose to make fun of anyone else's manner of speech, although his linguistics are the least of my problems with him.
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