Aseahawkfan wrote:Your post I think accurate as well, but nuanced. What I find strange is very few young people identify with a party. Older people tend to say things like, "I'm a Republican or a I'm a Democrat" whereas younger people tend to identify with issues.
I was chatting with this young Ethiopian-American girl coworker and her entire family told her to vote for Trump. Her entire family voted for Trump. The reason was solely based on the Democratic stance on transgender issues. But they don't view themselves as Republican, they're very focused on this narrow issue as it really pisses them off and frightens them badly. It's the most damaging issue the Democrats support at the moment that has caused many naturalized immigrants with conservative social values to turn to Trump even with his harsh immigration stance.
The younger generation is very issue oriented. Very much wanting something other than what is being offered by these two parties. And more likely to vote for a president than a party. If they like the candidate, they'll vote for that candidate regardless of the party as long as the right issues are being pushed.
They will make things interesting going forward as they are more influenced by social media more than mainstream news. They don't trust either political party.
I have two daughters, so we talked about this at dinner last night. One (a rising junior) is
very politically engaged. The other (a rising freshman) has opinions but is much more average in terms of her engagement. Some highlights:
—My older is definitely a pragmatic, old-school Democrat. She has little patience for the extremist wing that wouldn't vote for Harris because she wasn't perfect on the Israel/Gaza conflict. She's all about winning elections, and for that reason she's also super critical of how much the Dems have made trans issues a focus, even though she agrees with them. That story you told is something that makes her extra pissed at the Dems. That said, she can't think of a single other classmate who identifies with a party. Even the conservatives she knows, she said that all would say they are "conservative" or "MAGA"; none would primarily identify as Republican.
—I presented my identity hypothesis contrasted with an "issue" hypothesis and didn't tell them which I believed. They both said that they strongly thought the identity hypothesis was closer to the truth. When pressed on why, they both agreed that the strength of their peers' convictions was almost unrelated to how informed they were. The MAGA people are just as strongly MAGA regardless of whether they knew that Trump met with Kim Jung Un in his first term or not. She recalled a conversation with one group of MAGA a couple of years ago who were all uniformly and strongly "America should be strong and not meet with dictators." When my daughter told them about the meeting, they just shrugged. Hearing that Trump did the opposite thing on an issue they cared a lot about didn't phase them. If they'd been issue voters, they would have wanted to know more. But they really didn't care. They supported Trump because they were MAGA, and that's that. (She made it a point to say that it's not just a MAGA thing, it's just that in our rural Indiana town, there isn't a big sample of radical leftists to tell stories from. But she said they'd be the same.)
—When I presented the "for some young people, politics replace sports identity," neither felt they could confirm/deny. Neither have ever been big organized sports fans (the older always wants the Hawks to win, but hardly knows the rules of the game), and neither are their friends, so they weren't sure how strong the team loyalty/identity stuff is here. They also couldn't speak to any changes over time. They said that athletes do identify very strongly with their sport and their high school, but they just didn't know about pro sports. When I asked why they aren't sports fans (even if they're both athletes, swimming and running mainly), they just said they've never been super interested, even though I definitely watch sports in the house.
—They both shared your curiosity/concern about information sources. My older, in particular, is really worried. She's reading
Trust Me I'm Lying right now, which is all about disinformation. She sees it in her daily life on the right more just because most of her classmates are on the right and she's aghast at the things they use as evidence. But we also go to Olympia to visit family each year, and she said she's seen evidence that the problem is just as big on the left. She just doesn't encounter it as often.
Anyway, not sure how much this contributes. But I've been enjoying thinking about this over the past week or so.